Saturday, February 4, 2017

Donald J. Trump and The challenges of the 21st century , a review of the U.S. Security Continuum and Balance of power in the rapidly evolving international arena; by Larenzo Wisdom

[Written in part prior to the elections of 2016]

In the 1980's when scandals and a playboy lifestyle brought Donald J. Trump to public prominence, no one would have believed, that he would become an amazingly interesting political  wild card facing the  world in the next  melinium.
Here we are however,  on the road to Washington, destined to reelect one of two candidates to the worlds most powerful office.  It is no small feat that Trump was even able to get on the ballot...and it will take nothing less than a political revolution for him to win...

Oddly enough many Americans are well primed to initiate such desperate measures by electing the epitome of our fears...or as is more the routine during these cyclical elections, simply stand by and do nothing.

The U.S. presidency,  the most powerful political office history has ever known, is a huge honor  and an even greater responsibility.  Coveted by many over the past two centuries   it has been won by a plethora of what will one day be recounted as some of histories' greatest and poorest  leaders, all who had one thing in common.  This power has to date been monopolized by U.S. born nationals.

Yet somehow with the incumbent administration Vladimir Putin and his cleptocracy  of proto-crooks, have penetrated to the highest levels of the U.S. government through Donald Trumps business dealings, political connections, and social environment all bespeak a strong and consistent Russian presence.

Combined with the fact that U.S. and Russian troops are killing one another in Syria, and China's concurrent surge in the pacific, one can easily deduce that U.S. global hegemony is under a concerted attack by the Chino-Russo axis of power, or 

Donald Trump will definitely be one of histories more colorful of leaders...if not the most dangerous.  The danger lies in his clear and unapologetic flouting of both international and national conventions.

Today power is based not only on influence, and political maneuver, but on something far more apparent...pure and absolute violence.  This violence however is unforgiving in our nuclear age, and the learning curve is tragically short.

Many questions remain regarding trumps abilities to use diplomatic and economic solutions to some of the world's more complex problems, particularly in respect to our closest rivals: Russia and China.  Both contenders for reshaping the current balance of geopolitics, i.e. the current world order, in their favor.

In our current political and economic environment the possibilities for violence are well suited for the hawkish leaders tacrosshat seem to have proliferated around the globe in the last decade.  

These leaders have perused socio-political economic policies that seem to envision a global arms build-up as the answer to the current world crisiƛ throughout all civilized regions.

 Barak Obama May have inherited a broken economy, but Donald Trump will most certainly inherit a broken international arena.  This order is an irreconcilable hodgepodge of often contradictory alliances between countries with conflicting national interests.  

It is in a rapidly shifting geopolitical environment that the Trump presidency will be put to the acid test.  If early popularity polls are any indicator of what lies ahead, it seems to be a presidency  embroiled in constant scandal, public outcry and nepotistic overtones.  

With a Russian  national in the office of the first lady and increasingly dubious russian ties beingbexposed, it is  wonder thatbdonald trump will be able to prevent an evential impeachment, if the U.S. Congress continues to investigate questionable business and political pre election ties to russia.

The distraction will at a minimum impair the public's perception that the president is in fact somehow betraying his oath of office, and as is often the case in these affairs, perception is reality.  Meaning 'Trump-Gate' is already in the making.

The international arena: let the games begin-

With China on a decade long arms build-up which culminated in the current saber rattling  off the southern shores of Japan; making the issue of Taiwan even more precarious, and dubious.  For the first time in decades the Chinese Dragon presents a clear and existential threat to U.S. hegemony in the South China sea, and among the Pacific rim nations.

As a result one may reasonably expect increased militarization and political instability in and among critical Pacific Rim allies including: Taiwan, South Korea, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines and parts of Japan.

Russia also has resumed it's imperial gait, first terrorizing eastern Europe with power and gas outages, almost unilaterally annexing the Ukraine, with one of the most effective invasions the world has witnessed since George W. Bush Sr. in Desert Storm  1.
In Syria Russia has waged an effective dirty war, against its regional nemesis Turkey and Azerbaijan , along with it's allies in the NATO camp.

Not to mention the rapidly disintegrating European Union.  With Europe  is in an economic downturn, the end resulting result is a Russian coup, both economically , and, ultimately, militarily.

Hence recent European failures in the mideast vis a vis Russian encroachment into what once was part of the USSR: ie. Georgia, alndong with  a slew of eastern Eastern European countries petitioning to be part of NATO.

Russian insistence on keeping Syria within its sphere of influence at the cost of a potential  global conflict raises eyebrows even among novice pundits, as these moves have essentially  created the circumstance on which the pretext that the next war will be fought.

With the potential dissolution of NATO on the horizon,  the economic failure of the eurozone, and increasing cultural disaffection throughout both eastern and western Europe have created vast chasms in the people's perspectives and willingness to support local governments, further destabilising the EU, and thereby also it's NATO alliances.

In the face of these problems both existential, and potential, it becomes evident that the world needs strength in leadership.   Fortunately this is  an outstanding quality in Donald Trump, who as commander in chief of the most powerful country in the world, could conceivably bring civilization to an end.

His brash decisive 'can-do' attitude may be exactly what is needed to inspire the spirit of Democracy, in a failing world order which is neither new, nor  reflective of the system framed by our forefathers whose words, after hundreds of years, still echo with the intent and porpose of a strong and just executive power whose actions benefit all within our country..."In order to form a more perfect union".

This of course is only possible when backed up by well thought out, and rational executive action.  As the Trump administration begins its historic program, the rest of the world waits for the outcome of trump ideology put into the real world acid test, resulting in that which only time will tell.